Class A is A-OK with Ryno on ChicagoSports.com

Class A is A-OK with Ryno on ChicagoSports.com

This has been out for a while, but I’m still excited about it.  I think this is one year that I’ll make going to opening day in P-town a priority.

A little pessimism injection

Read on the Cub Reporter today:

After today’s action:

Good (true .600 team) and lucky (1 %ile probability): finish 32-9 for 91-71, can be tied by:

Houston or Philadelphia 27-15
Washington 28-15
Florida 29-14
New York 30-13

That scenario, in English, is what’ll happen if the Cubs play like a 97-win team from here on out and get a large amount of the breaks. That’s a lot to ask on both counts. More realistic is:

Kinda good (true .550 team) and kinda lucky (10 %ile probability): finish 27-14 for 86-76, can be tied by:

Houston or Philadelphia 22-20
Washington 23-20
Florida 24-19
New York 25-18

Today’s games, with the teams above us winning and losing in equal numbers, illustrates the problem. At least one of those teams in the second scenario is all but guaranteed to beat their mark, while there’s a pretty big chance the Cubs won’t even do that well.

Echoing Crunch, the Cubs more or less sealed their fate with the ATL dive. They need to play ridiculously well and get all the breaks in their games and hope that nobody else catches fire. I’d like to hope too, but this is going to be over sooner rather than later, in spite of the inspired play they’ve shown recently.
by Ron Galt

This is an excellent breakdown, and it shows just how lucky the Cubs would need to be to make the postseason. Doesn’t seem likely.

Cubs, Bears, and Illini (football)…It’s a long time before college basketball…

Let the indoctrination begin

Last night, I read Wrigley Field from A to Z to Lindy, and I made sure to include at least one piece of Cubs’ trivia after reading each letter.

And you know what? She liked it. Maybe she can’t see the pictures, but she liked it.